Why West Virginia will cover against powerhouse Kentucky

CLEVELAND — It's good to be back. Well, not in Cleveland, but you get the idea.

After a slow start to the tournament, we've gone 12-4 over the last three days of action. Hopefully, the layoff won't hurt us.

West Virginia (+13 ½) over Kentucky: The Wildcats frontline will be the difference as usual, with the team's size too much for West Virginia to overcome, but the Mountaineers' pressure will keep it close throughout, harassing a Kentucky backcourt, which often folds against physical defenses.

Wichita State (-2) over Notre Dame: The rematch everyone wants will happen. The Shockers will get another shot at Kentucky, carried by one of the best backcourts — Fred VanVleet, Ron Baker and Tekele Cotton — in the country. The Irish, who averaged nearly 80 points per game this season, have been held under 70 in their two tournament games, and will have even more trouble against Wichita State's underrated defense.

North Carolina (+6) over Wisconsin: Kennedy Meeks is unlikely to play, hurting the Tar Heels' chances, but Marcus Paige's presence always keeps Carolina in contention. This shootout should come down to the final seconds.

Arizona (-10 ½) over Xavier: After another season hidden out west, the Wildcats showed their strength in a 15-point win over Ohio State, marking their 13th straight win and 26th by double-digits this season. Xavier, the only Big East team remaining, was also the league's most inconsistent team. After two wins, the Musketeers are due for one more head-scratching performance.

2015 record: 27-21

2011-14 record: 106-67-5

Follow @HowieKussoy on Twitter for bonus picks throughout March Madness.

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